Putin may have missed an opportunity to score a decisive military victory at the front before the presidential election in the United States.
Francis Dearnley writes about this in an article for The Telegraph. He recalled President Joe Biden's speech on the anniversary of D-Day, in which he linked the war in Ukraine with the sacrifice his compatriots made 80 years ago, as well as permission to use American weapons on Russian territory.
Ukraine recently struck the command center in Belgorod, Russian ships in the port of Taganrog, and, in its most symbolic triumph, one of the Kremlin's most modern and expensive aircraft, the Su-57 fighter.
Dearnley notes that these attacks alone do not change the strategic situation, but together with the attacks on Russian oil depots they demonstrate that, logistically, Ukraine has reached a tipping point where it can no longer be defeated. In addition, recently approved aid from the United States is already arriving at the front, and the Czech "shell" initiative is moving quickly.
"The critical window of opportunity, when Moscow outnumbered and outgunned Kyiv, has almost certainly passed, and as November approaches, it will cost Vladimir Putin dearly politically. His goal was to carry out a significant invasion of Ukraine before America went to the polls." putting Biden in an awkward position and obliging whoever wins the White House to force Kyiv into peace talks,” he added.
According to the journalist, it is worth re-evaluating the period that followed the Ukrainian counter-offensive, which failed. It should now be seen as a highly effective defense and a potentially decisive military victory.