Against the backdrop of the already quite long war in Ukraine, a new outbreak of war in the Middle East and the threat of Donald Trump returning to the White House are returning the world to dark times of global instability. The Financial Times writes about this.
The publication compares the current situation in the world with the first decade after the end of the Cold War, when it would seem that an era of peace and prosperity had arrived for humanity. Then not only the global confrontation between two military-political blocs ended, but also a number of regional conflicts - apartheid in South Africa, the terrorist war in Northern Ireland, Israel reached a strategic peace agreement with neighboring Arab countries.
"In the 1990s, the spirit of the era was in favor of peacemakers, democrats and internationalists. Today, nationalists, warmongers and conspiracy theorists have the wind in their sails," writes the FT.
So the global problem remains the war in Ukraine, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ summer counter-offensive “mostly failed,” and Russia felt a second wind, hoping to win due to its resource advantage.
Battered Ukraine remains heavily dependent on the West for weapons and financial support. But Kiev's Western backers have failed to ramp up weapons production to match the Russian war machine. Meanwhile, continued funding for Ukraine is stuck in the US Congress as Republicans who support Trump oppose against war,” the publication says.
Now Vladimir Putin has even more reasons to continue the war over the next year, awaiting Donald Trump's return to the White House, after which, the Kremlin hopes, the US will "abandon Ukraine to its fate."
However, the war in Gaza has already forced the United States to divert time and resources from Ukraine. In some cases there is direct competition for ammunition. Ukraine was already desperately short of shells and is now competing with Israel for scarce supplies. Air defense systems are also needed by both Ukraine and Israel.
Beyond these two high-profile wars, regional conflicts continue. Thus, FT draws attention to the fact that recently mass deportations and forced displacements of people have occurred or been announced in Pakistan, Sudan and Karabakh.
China will probably try to take advantage of the Americans' lack of attention to these world problems. His intention has long been known - to displace the United States as the dominant power in the Pacific, and possibly on a global scale. In this context, Beijing's ambitions regarding Taiwan are of particular concern.
The FT notes that all these global problems exist in close interaction and mutually feed each other.
“It’s too fatalistic to say that we live in an era when everything can only get worse. But to understand that the strongest trends in world affairs are harmful and are gaining momentum is simple realism,” the publication sums up.